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Canadiens at Predators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tommy Novak's goal at 8:18 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 27, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 2.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tommy Novak (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    T. Novak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    N. Niederreiter3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1151814327
NSHNSH31521019634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Glass(3)PPG
    M. Ekholm (10), N. Niederreiter (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    4:10
  2. NSH
    C. Sissons(5)
    F. Forsberg (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:49
  3. NSH
    M. Ekholm(3)
    M. Granlund (19), N. Niederreiter (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    10:42
  4. MTL
    C. Caufield(22)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    19:10

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(10)
    J. Drouin (7), A. Richard (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    6:40
  2. NSH
    T. Novak(3)
    Y. Trenin (6), T. Jeannot (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    8:18
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(9)
    T. Novak (3), N. Niederreiter (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:48

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Duchene(11)PPG
    R. Josi (21), M. Granlund (20)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    4:43
  2. MTL
    B. Gallagher(4)
    M. Hoffman (5), C. Dvorak (9)
    snapxG 0.20
    3-6
    16:59

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:32MTLJoel Edmundson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:59NSHCody Glass · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 8:41MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 14:32MTLChris Wideman · Roughingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 14:32NSHColton Sissons · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min

2nd

  • 12:48NSHRyan McDonagh · Holdingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 18:34NSHYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

3rd

  • 0:13NSHMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 2:58MTLJordan Harris · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 4:16MTLJake Evans · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tommy Novak, 2nd 8:18 — NSH 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.23R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.21A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.16M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.12C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.11J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.11T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.08J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.08T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. McKeown · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. McKeown · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNSH
2.33 G
All situations
6 G3.8
1.93 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL26%74%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNSH
27
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58D. SavardD000+120.03040—23:03
14N. SuzukiC000020.151103322:13
54J. HarrisD000+110.00012—20:34
77K. DachC000040.30020019:36
28C. DvorakC011-110.140104719:23
22C. CaufieldR101+160.99000—19:17
44J. EdmundsonD000-330.06312—17:12
52J. BarronD000-110.02110—16:54
72A. XhekajD000010.04220—16:50
17J. AndersonR101020.1500010015:18
11B. GallagherR101-110.20012—15:00
6C. WidemanD000000.00132—14:47
68M. HoffmanC011010.0410010013:28
27J. DrouinL011000.001003612:58
71J. EvansC000-100.001125712:36
20J. SlafkovskýL000-100.00300—11:22
90A. RichardC011010.10000011:11
55M. PezzettaL000010.06400—08:55
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)34286.8243.81-2.1960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).