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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
Boston Bruins
3
Final/OTTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Alex Tuch scoring at 3:53. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 3:53 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 25, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (2 G, 2 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF110161811425
BOSBOS1901121901340

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(25)
    D. Krejci (17), P. Zacha (18)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:09
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(27)
    J. Skinner (21), A. Tuch (21)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:13

2nd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(16)
    I. Lyubushkin (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:03

3rd period

  1. BOS
    P. Bergeron(15)PPG
    B. Marchand (20), J. DeBrusk (14)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    5:16
  2. BOS
    B. Marchand(10)
    D. Pastrnak (25), C. McAvoy (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:25
  3. BUF
    D. Cozens(12)
    A. Tuch (22), R. Dahlin (28)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:23

Overtime

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(17)
    D. Cozens (22)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:53

Penalties

BUF 17 PIM·BOS 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:39BOSserved by A. Greer · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 1:43BOSTrent Frederic · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen2 min
  • 1:43BUFRasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 13:40BUFKale Clague · Boardingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

2nd

  • 7:51BOSConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Peyton Krebs5 min
  • 7:51BUFPeyton Krebs · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 12:22BOSCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 1:56BOSHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 4:48BUFKyle Okposo · Boardingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 13:24BUFJJ Peterka · High sticking double minordrawn by Brandon Carlo4 min
  • 13:28BUFIlya Lyubushkin · High stickingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, OT 3:53 — BUF 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.31J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.23H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.17P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.16B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.16B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.12D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.10M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01
BOS3 G · 4.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.94 G
All situations
3 G4.5
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF15%85%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 4.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
25
Shots on goal
40
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD000+200.03130—28:44
26R. DahlinD011050.16462—27:52
23M. SamuelssonD000000.00330—24:44
72T. ThompsonC101+230.420006922:39
89A. TuchR224+320.30100—21:30
53J. SkinnerL011+220.020005019:03
24D. CozensC112+130.271003117:26
78J. BrysonD000000.00120—15:24
21K. OkposoR000020.16512—14:32
19P. KrebsC000010.153055814:22
37C. MittelstadtC000000.001002013:54
77J. PeterkaR000-100.00114—13:28
22J. QuinnR000-120.20100—13:10
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.131105012:40
71V. OlofssonL000020.06000—12:03
46I. LyubushkinD011000.00102—11:37
17T. JostC000010.023003810:59
38K. ClagueD000+110.01002—09:41
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)40373.9254.51+1.5163:16

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).