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Panthers at Hurricanes
NHL

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 4-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 7:05 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.2, CAR 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 19, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.6 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brent Burns (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Raanta19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0301105019
CARCAR112211111434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(8)PPG
    S. Aho (17), B. Burns (21)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:05

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(19)PPG
    B. Burns (22), M. Necas (20)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    4:58
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(3)PPG
    S. Jarvis (12), J. Kotkaniemi (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    11:55

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(6)
    B. Pesce (10), S. Jarvis (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    3:50

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·CAR 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:38CARJordan Martinook · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 5:14FLABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 10:55CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 13:05FLARadko Gudas · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 15:45CARMartin Necas · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 4:03FLAserved by C. White · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:45FLASam Bennett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Antti Raanta2 min
  • 13:29CARBrett Pesce · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 16:17CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 1:45FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 11:31CARDerek Stepan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:12CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 19:12FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalFLA goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 1st 7:05 — CAR 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.30D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCAR
2.20 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.80 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCAR
19
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/6
Power play
3/5
12
Penalty minutes
14
26
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000000.00010—22:59
62B. MontourD000020.13102—22:14
5A. EkbladD000-100.02000—22:02
16A. BarkovC000020.112004320:27
19M. TkachukL000030.44102—19:52
23C. VerhaegheC000000.13010017:18
7R. GudasD000010.03522—17:18
9S. BennettC000030.492025916:59
13S. ReinhartC000010.32000016:36
18M. StaalD000-100.02300—15:34
28J. MahuraD000020.02210—14:53
27E. LuostarinenC000030.33200014:40
12E. StaalC000-100.001104414:20
15A. LundellC000-110.062025714:15
94R. LombergL000-110.09310—11:59
6C. WhiteC000000.00120011:05
76A. LevtchiL000000.00000—09:28
21N. CousinsC000000.00110009:20
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)34304.8822.36-1.6460:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).