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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 15:22 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were MTL 27, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 34 of 41 (.829), 2.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (3 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL21402011227
FLAFLA315112314741

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:37
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    11:50
  3. MTL
    A. Xhekaj(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:14
  4. FLA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:22
  5. MTL
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    19:13

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    6:22

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    4:14
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(17)PPG
    snapxG 0.31win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    7:24
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.16
    2-7
    9:31

Penalties

MTL 41 PIM·FLA 27 PIM

1st

  • 10:50MTLJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 12:14FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 15:28FLAEetu Luostarinen · High sticking double minordrawn by Josh Anderson4 min

2nd

  • 4:37MTLserved by J. Slafkovský · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:10FLAGustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 15:46MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

3rd

  • 6:40MTLKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 10:44MTLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:44MTLJoel Edmundson · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:44MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:44FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 10:44FLAMarc Staal · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 10:44MTLJoel Edmundson · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:40MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 17:40MTLBrendan Gallagher · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Montour5 min
  • 17:40MTLBrendan Gallagher · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:40FLABrandon Montour · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:40FLABrandon Montour · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 1st 15:22 — FLA 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.33M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.31S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.20E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.19R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.17E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.14B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.09M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Levtchi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA7 G · 4.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
1.52 G
All situations
7 G4.4
1.00 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.52 G
Power play
3 G2.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL11%89%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 4.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
41
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/4
Power play
3/6
41
Penalty minutes
27
26
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. XhekajD112030.07300—19:26
21K. GuhleD000-300.01650—18:59
54J. HarrisD000-100.00010—18:27
71J. EvansC000020.220204317:38
14N. SuzukiC000-300.001223517:32
28C. DvorakC000-100.000003817:28
52J. BarronD000-100.02000—17:22
17J. AndersonR101040.10410—17:14
44J. EdmundsonD000-320.023114—17:02
26J. KovacevicD000010.03020—16:50
77K. DachC000-310.14004015:46
22C. CaufieldR000-310.02000—15:12
40J. ArmiaR000010.10402—14:39
27J. DrouinL011010.042005014:09
68M. HoffmanC011050.4200010013:42
11B. GallagherR000-130.18101710013:41
63E. DadonovL011030.12010—13:38
20J. SlafkovskýL000-100.02200—12:10
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)41347.8294.43-2.5759:36

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).