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Avalanche at Coyotes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
Utah Mammoth
▸6
FinalTV BSAZX, ALT2·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-3. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 11:23 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 13% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 31, ARI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.5 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (3 A), 3. Michael Carcone (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun3 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    M. Carcone1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11011219331
ARIARI212210211633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(9)
    J. Chychrun (11), C. Keller (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:55
  2. COL
    E. Rodrigues(8)PPG
    C. Makar (23), J. Compher (13)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    4:32
  3. ARI
    L. Crouse(14)
    N. Bjugstad (6)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:33

2nd period

  1. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(7)PPG
    N. Ritchie (7), J. Chychrun (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    5:59
  2. COL
    C. Makar(8)
    J. Compher (14), D. Toews (17)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:23
  3. ARI
    J. Moser(4)
    L. Crouse (5), J. Välimäki (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    16:38

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Carcone(1)
    L. Crouse (6), J. Chychrun (13)
    slapxG 0.25win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    3:43
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(24)
    E. Johnson (7), S. Girard (5)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    5:24
  3. ARI
    C. Keller(13)EN
    N. Schmaltz (9)
    wristxG 0.46
    3-6
    19:04

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·ARI 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:22ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 4:36COLAndreas Englund · Slashingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 14:24COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min

3rd

  • 7:00COLBrad Hunt · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 11:23 — COL 13% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.46J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.32T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.26M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.25M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.19N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.18B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.16T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.12J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI6 G · 4.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
2.73 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL37%63%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
31
Shots on goal
33
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
22
9
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD112-140.27000—25:45
7D. ToewsD011-110.09120—25:42
49S. GirardD011-220.07100—22:57
96M. RantanenR101-130.312106722:42
37J. CompherL022-350.461106722:01
62A. LehkonenL000-200.02122—21:18
9E. RodriguesC101060.451107119:51
6E. JohnsonD011-200.01020—19:48
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00500—16:11
81D. MalginC000020.29300015:23
18A. NewhookC000010.303006014:53
11A. CoglianoC000-210.08000014:50
59B. MeyersC000-110.162004213:55
17B. HuntD000030.07002—13:01
88A. EnglundD000000.00102—12:48
54C. HudonL000010.111005007:57
56K. MacDermidL000000.00400—03:53
26J. MacDonaldD000010.02100—03:34
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)32275.8443.51-1.4958:08

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).