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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
FinalTV MSG-B, BSOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Olofsson's goal at 12:35 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were BUF 35, CBJ 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jon Gillies stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tyler Angle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Mittelstadt1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    T. Angle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01631128535
CBJCBJ1811508231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    J. Gaudreau(21)
    T. Berni (2), A. Boqvist (19)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:34

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(35)
    C. Mittelstadt (44)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:36
  2. BUF
    V. Olofsson(28)
    D. Cozens (37), K. Clague (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:35
  3. BUF
    A. Tuch(36)
    J. Skinner (46)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    14:01
  4. CBJ
    T. Angle(1)
    A. Peeke (7), G. Bayreuther (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:24

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(15)
    J. Skinner (47)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:03
  2. BUF
    P. Krebs(9)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:27

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:59CBJHunter McKown · Holdingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

2nd

  • 5:33BUFRiley Stillman · Trippingdrawn by Gavin Bayreuther2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Olofsson, 2nd 12:35 — BUF 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Angle · On goal · xG 0.37G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.34J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.22J. Luoto · On goal · xG 0.17J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.17G. Bayreuther · On goal · xG 0.16H. McKown · Missed · xG 0.13S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.13J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.13T. Berni · On goal · xG 0.12T. Angle · On goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.11K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.10H. McKown · Missed · xG 0.09E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.08H. McKown · On goal · xG 0.07T. Angle · Goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06S. Svozil · On goal · xG 0.06S. Svozil · On goal · xG 0.05J. Luoto · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pyyhtia · Missed · xG 0.05T. Angle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.02K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pyyhtia · On goal · xG 0.02T. Berni · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sweezey · Missed · xG 0.02T. Berni · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01T. Berni · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sweezey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01T. Berni · On goal · xG 0.01A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 3.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
4.55 G
All situations
2 G3.2
4.55 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF69%31%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.38 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
35
Shots on goal
31
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
5
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000030.43010—26:10
25O. PowerD000+110.07010—23:50
46I. LyubushkinD000+100.05050—23:24
38K. ClagueD011+300.00020—21:27
61R. StillmanD000+230.13122—20:49
71V. OlofssonL101+250.66000—16:49
22J. QuinnR000+110.23000—16:12
53J. SkinnerL123+230.4300010016:02
37C. MittelstadtC112+230.360004316:00
24D. CozensC011+120.270004115:55
21K. OkposoR000-130.4510010015:25
89A. TuchR101+140.63000—15:18
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.010106714:36
19P. KrebsC101+110.082008614:20
77J. PeterkaR000+110.16000—13:37
13L. RousekR000+120.23000—13:34
12J. GreenwayL000-110.27100—11:49
10H. JokiharjuD000-110.04000—02:43
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(W)31292.9353.20+1.2060:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).