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Wild at Ducks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV BSW, BSNX·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 4:46 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 42, ANA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mason McTavish (1 G), 3. Mats Zuccarello.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN09114319442
ANAANA0411206122

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    5:48
  2. MIN
    C. Dewar(5)
    R. Reaves (4), M. Shaw (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:46
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(11)PPG
    C. Addison (14), M. Boldy (12)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    8:54
  3. MIN
    R. Hartman(2)EN
    M. Boldy (13), F. Gaudreau (6)
    wristxG 0.69win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:12

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ANA 24 PIM

1st

  • 16:09ANAAdam Henrique · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 5:04ANAAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 5:04MINMarcus Foligno · Embellishmentdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 11:29MINJared Spurgeon · Holdingdrawn by Maxime Comtois2 min
  • 12:30ANATrevor Zegras · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 16:38ANASimon Benoit · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min
  • 19:03ANARyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

3rd

  • 7:41ANADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 13:01ANAFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:37ANAFrank Vatrano · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:37MINFrederick Gaudreau · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 3rd 4:46 — MIN 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.22S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.21C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.11T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.10M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.09T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.08M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.04S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.00M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
4.63 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
2.01 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN79%21%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.84 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
42
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/6
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
24
15
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97K. KaprizovL000-130.34000—21:46
24M. DumbaD000040.20220—21:35
36M. ZuccarelloR000040.31100—21:19
14J. Eriksson EkC101-180.921004720:49
2C. AddisonD011+130.11000—19:44
12M. BoldyL123+260.870005019:15
25J. BrodinD000010.02000—18:45
5J. MiddletonD000+100.00000—17:29
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.10222—17:16
13S. SteelC000+120.151006915:40
17M. FolignoL000020.20102—15:11
4J. MerrillD000+100.00000—14:40
38R. HartmanR101+220.831207513:00
18J. GreenwayL000010.08110—12:38
75R. ReavesR011+100.00300—12:05
15M. ShawC011+100.00200011:59
89F. GaudreauC011+140.340123311:21
26C. DewarC101+110.090007811:05
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)22211.9551.96+0.9660:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).