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Blue Jackets at Flyers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, BSOH·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 14:18 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 33, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.2 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 G), 2. Cam York (2 A), 3. Morgan Frost (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. York2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ08212113333
PHIPHI113213213539

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(13)SHG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    13:48

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:58
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    8:41
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:04
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    14:18

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    2:45
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    11:11
  3. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:41

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:58PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 12:06CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCBJ goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 2nd 14:18 — PHI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.53T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.25T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.21J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.21M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.16O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.15T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.12M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.06C. York · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsPHI
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ45%55%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
39
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44E. GudbransonD000-110.01250—22:30
75T. BerniD000-240.24210—22:13
4V. GavrikovD000-210.27132—21:27
2A. PeekeD101+210.14010—20:13
29P. LaineL011-140.25010—19:08
13J. GaudreauL011-230.27000—18:58
47M. BjorkD000-330.14110—18:53
91K. JohnsonC101-130.270102518:24
96J. RoslovicC011000.000106218:11
7S. KuralyC000-120.073004817:01
14G. NyquistR011-110.11000—16:28
86K. MarchenkoR101+130.22000—16:26
24M. OlivierR000-220.27110—15:35
50E. RobinsonL011020.17400—14:33
23J. ChristiansenD011+320.05110—12:52
19L. FoudyC000-110.07300009:06
72C. MeyerR000000.00100—08:57
21J. DunneC000000.033005007:55
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)38344.8952.81-1.1959:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).