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Sabres at Coyotes
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV BSAZX, MSG-B·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 10:07 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 5.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were BUF 43, ARI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tage Thompson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Skinner2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF113112318543
ARIARI1711509231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(8)PPG
    J. Chychrun (9), N. Schmaltz (7)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:35
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(14)PPG
    T. Thompson (23), A. Tuch (17)
    deflectedxG 0.29win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    6:34

2nd period

  1. ARI
    B. Hayton(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    12:16
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(15)
    R. Dahlin (26), T. Thompson (24)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:42

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(25)PPG
    A. Tuch (18), R. Dahlin (27)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    10:07
  2. BUF
    T. Jost(2)EN
    A. Tuch (19)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:32
  3. BUF
    K. Okposo(3)EN
    J. Skinner (20)
    wristxG 0.84
    5-2
    19:08

Penalties

BUF 12 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:44BUFKale Clague · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 5:33ARIJack McBain · Holdingdrawn by Lawrence Pilut2 min
  • 7:59ARIJan Jenik · Holdingdrawn by Kale Clague2 min
  • 9:20BUFserved by P. Krebs · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:47BUFJeremy Davies · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 17:33ARILawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

2nd

  • 6:17ARIJan Jenik · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 17:37BUFKyle Okposo · Trippingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 18:46BUFRasmus Dahlin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:15ARINick Bjugstad · Holdingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 10:57BUFKale Clague · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalBUF goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 3rd 10:07 — BUF 53% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.23T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.18T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.17N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.14T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.13T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsARI
5.53 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
2.32 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF65%35%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.05 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsARI
43
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/5
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD022+350.15112—29:15
23M. SamuelssonD000+100.01330—28:30
38K. ClagueD000+100.02034—20:34
72T. ThompsonC123+260.870004719:55
53J. SkinnerL213+281.37010—17:57
89A. TuchR033+250.42100—17:14
45C. FitzgeraldD000000.00220—16:48
21K. OkposoR101+140.952023314:58
22J. QuinnR000-120.27000—14:10
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.04210013:57
17T. JostC101+130.541002913:54
24D. CozensC000-110.321006913:42
37C. MittelstadtC000+130.180006713:41
19P. KrebsC000020.15400013:12
71V. OlofssonL000020.14000—13:09
77J. PeterkaR000-100.00000—10:30
20L. PilutD000-100.00010—09:34
4J. DaviesD000010.00012—08:33
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)31292.9353.08+1.0859:39

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).