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Islanders at Coyotes
NHL

New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
4
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV BSAZ, MSGSN·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Islanders 5-4. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 2:08 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 34, ARI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.4 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (2 G), 2. Nick Schmaltz (3 A), 3. Travis Boyd (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz3 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI21117116434
ARIARI11121325529

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Aho(3)
    B. Nelson (17), J. Bailey (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:41
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(4)
    R. Salo (1), O. Wahlstrom (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:33
  3. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:16

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(11)
    N. Schmaltz (4), B. Hayton (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:55
  2. ARI
    N. Bjugstad(7)
    J. Brown (2), M. Maccelli (19)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    9:09
  3. NYI
    N. Dobson(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:45

3rd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(3)
    J. Chychrun (7), N. Schmaltz (5)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    2:08
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(12)
    N. Schmaltz (6), J. Chychrun (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-5
    14:49
  3. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(6)
    A. Lee (13), O. Wahlstrom (9)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +6 pts
    4-5
    18:21

Penalties

NYI 12 PIM·ARI 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:36ARITroy Stecher · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 17:13NYIAnthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

2nd

  • 0:21NYIRyan Pulock · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 4:16NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 10:56ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 13:43NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 19:22ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 2:41ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 2:41NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 2:41ARILiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 10:59ARINick Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 15:16NYICasey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNYI goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Boyd, 3rd 2:08 — ARI 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.28T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.24T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.04J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI5 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsARI
3.24 G
All situations
5 G2.6
0.94 G
Even strength
5 G1.6
2.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsARI
34
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
35
17
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD101+340.55210—24:47
13M. BarzalC101040.341201722:06
28A. RomanovD000-300.00110—20:45
44J. PageauC000-120.461106320:29
29B. NelsonC011020.112004519:56
24S. MayfieldD000-110.03032—19:53
27A. LeeL011+150.6411210019:36
25S. AhoD101+240.07000—18:24
6R. PulockD000-340.16112—18:19
12J. BaileyR011-210.21110—16:25
18A. BeauvillierR101-130.27102—14:07
11Z. PariseL000-110.0111010013:48
53C. CizikasC000-110.111123812:22
26O. WahlstromR022+200.00300—12:04
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00232—11:37
21K. PalmieriC000020.2530010010:46
17M. MartinL000+100.00210—10:32
2R. SaloD011000.00000—06:28
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)29245.8282.59-2.4157:36

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).