Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Edmonton Oilers 2-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 9:39 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 21, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonas Brodin, 3. Jared Spurgeon.
Three stars
- ★M. Boldy1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Brodin

- ★★★J. Spurgeon

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-112:36
1-114:01
2nd period
1-29:39
Penalties
1st
- 4:24
Jared Spurgeon · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 12:28
Tyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 13:12
Mason Shaw · Cross checkingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
- 14:01
served by M. Zuccarello · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
2nd
- 0:50
Tyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 5:42
Philip Broberg · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
3rd
- 1:45
Mathew Dumba · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
- 19:08
Mats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 2nd 9:39 — 53% → 71%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.9
- 0.90 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.4
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 11
- Hits
- 15
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 3
- Giveaways
- 2
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
