Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Stars scored first; the Penguins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 19:25 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 97%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.5, PIT 1.5; shots on goal were DAL 27, PIT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G), 2. Pierre-Olivier Joseph (1 G), 3. Roope Hintz (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-00:19
1-113:14
3rd period
1-219:25
Penalties
1st
- 6:12
Marcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
- 8:59
Radek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 11:58
Ryan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 19:26
Colin Miller · High stickingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
3rd
- 1:36
Jan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 19:25 — 51% → 97%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.51 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.5
- 1.11 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 33
- Hits
- 35
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 2
- Giveaways
- 11
- 8
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
2this game
2@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
