Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 4:37. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 4:37 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 41, ARI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.4 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 37 of 41 (.902). Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (3 G), 2. Nick Ritchie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack McBain (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Keller3 G

- ★★N. Ritchie1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. McBain1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-112:46
2nd period
1-12:09
2-14:08
2-27:45
2-310:21
3-318:42
3rd period
3-47:27
4-417:43
Overtime
4-54:37
Penalties
1st
- 10:49
Rasmus Ristolainen · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 14:43
Troy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
2nd
- 3:50
Nick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
- 3:50
Lawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
3rd
- 1:30
Joshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
- 1:30
Zack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
- 8:31
Jakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 4:37 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.04 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.7
- 3.64 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.4
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.97 – 2.61
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 41
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/1
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 25
- Hits
- 28
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 3
- Takeaways
- 0
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
5OTthis game
2@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
