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Red Wings at Stars
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
Final/OTTV BSDET, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Nils Lundkvist scoring at 4:29. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nils Lundkvist's goal at 4:29 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 26, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nils Lundkvist (1 G), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. David Perron (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    N. Lundkvist1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Perron1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET112190401226
DALDAL1511701011333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(10)
    A. Czarnik (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:48
  2. DAL
    D. Gurianov(2)
    M. Marchment (8), T. Seguin (16)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:06

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(11)PPG
    J. Robertson (19), M. Heiskanen (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:00
  2. DET
    D. Perron(9)
    B. Chiarot (5), M. Seider (10)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    19:00

Overtime

  1. DAL
    N. Lundkvist(3)
    M. Marchment (9)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:29

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:42DALColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

2nd

  • 5:46DETGustav Lindstrom · Cross checkingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 10:48DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 15:05DETJake Walman · High sticking double minordrawn by Mason Marchment4 min

3rd

  • 2:08DALRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Nils Lundkvist, OT 4:29 — DAL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.31N. Lundkvist · Goal · xG 0.30R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.28M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.27D. Gurianov · Goal · xG 0.24M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.17T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET33%67%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000070.16400—28:05
53M. SeiderD011+200.03512—24:36
8B. ChiarotD011020.11130—24:26
71D. LarkinC101+150.351103920:40
96J. WalmanD000000.00014—18:09
81D. KubalikL000010.33200—16:47
70O. SundqvistC000000.08010016:29
18A. CoppC000010.220005716:14
57D. PerronL101+110.54500—16:12
23L. RaymondL000+100.001003315:48
24P. SuterC000-100.151301415:30
27M. RasmussenC000-100.012007515:10
73A. ErneL000-140.36110—15:06
82J. OesterleD000-110.02120—14:26
52J. BerggrenR000030.25010—12:33
28G. LindstromD000000.01202—12:23
90J. VelenoC000010.041005712:22
21A. CzarnikC011+100.040003311:36
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(O)33303.9093.85+0.8564:29

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).