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Canadiens at Oilers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV CBC, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 19:55 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 3.2; shots on goal were MTL 33, EDM 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 1.6 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 3. Zach Hyman (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL18213012333
EDMEDM0441216522

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)PPG
    M. Matheson (2), K. Dach (14)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    16:37

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(11)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (23), C. McDavid (25)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    1:25
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(17)PPG
    C. McDavid (26), T. Barrie (10)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:27
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(20)PPG
    T. Barrie (11), Z. Hyman (16)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    9:36
  4. MTL
    E. Dadonov(2)
    J. Armia (1), J. Kovacevic (3)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:26
  5. MTL
    A. Xhekaj(4)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    16:38
  6. EDM
    D. Nurse(4)
    L. Draisaitl (24), Z. Hyman (17)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +23 pts
    3-4
    19:55

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(21)
    L. Draisaitl (25)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +10 pts
    3-5
    14:40

Penalties

MTL 23 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:20EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 19:09MTLArber Xhekaj · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 0:42MTLJoel Edmundson · High stickingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 5:08MTLKirby Dach · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:20MTLJoel Edmundson · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Hyman5 min
  • 5:20MTLJoel Edmundson · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:55MTLNick Suzuki · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 14:39EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 16:28EDMDarnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 2nd 19:55 — EDM 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.54B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.31D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.27C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.27B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07T. Benson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.04B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
3.23 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.92 G
Power play
3 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL48%52%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
22
60%
Faceoffs
40%
2/3
Power play
3/5
23
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011050.37510—26:57
21K. GuhleD000030.14610—21:38
14N. SuzukiC101020.380024720:48
58D. SavardD000-110.08120—20:48
91S. MonahanC000-130.191007120:35
77K. DachC011050.45102018:51
22C. CaufieldR000040.44010—18:46
26J. KovacevicD011-110.02300—18:06
72A. XhekajD101010.06302—17:24
17J. AndersonR000-100.26410—16:47
28C. DvorakC000+110.090106716:28
20J. SlafkovskýL011-200.00110—14:25
40J. ArmiaR011030.26110—13:47
63E. DadonovL101+130.44210—13:23
71J. EvansC000-100.001106311:56
44J. EdmundsonD000000.002117—09:57
32R. PitlickC000000.00000006:20
55M. PezzettaL000010.02100—06:05
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)22175.7733.39-1.6157:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).