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Avalanche at Bruins
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Boston Bruins
▸5
FinalTV ALT, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trent Frederic's goal at 18:51 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 68% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were COL 25, BOS 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.9 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G), 2. Trent Frederic (2 G), 3. Brad Marchand (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Frederic2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0140516125
BOSBOS213115212540

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(15)PPG
    B. Marchand (12), C. McAvoy (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    13:49
  2. BOS
    T. Frederic(4)
    C. McAvoy (10), P. Zacha (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    18:51

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(16)
    D. Krejci (11)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:48

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Cogliano(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    6:32
  2. BOS
    T. Frederic(5)
    T. Hall (8), C. Coyle (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    15:32
  3. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(8)
    D. Forbort (3), P. Bergeron (11)
    wristxG 0.15
    1-5
    15:42

Penalties

COL 15 PIM·BOS 13 PIM

1st

  • 10:07COLJean-Luc Foudy · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 13:20COLDryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 15:24COLAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Nick Foligno5 min
  • 15:24BOSNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 15:24BOSNick Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min

2nd

  • 7:38BOSHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 17:09COLJacob MacDonald · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Tomas Nosek0 min
  • 19:13COLErik Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 2:25COLJacob MacDonald · Holdingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 4:00BOSNick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 4:16COLJean-Luc Foudy · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 17:07BOSA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Luc Foudy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCOL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Trent Frederic, 1st 18:51 — BOS 68% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.29D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.24T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.15J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.15T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.12T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsBOS
1.41 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL21%79%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsBOS
25
Shots on goal
40
38%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-110.04220—26:37
7D. ToewsD000-320.04100—24:36
29N. MacKinnonC000-240.412105323:39
96M. RantanenR000-220.07010—23:00
49S. GirardD000-120.03130—22:16
37J. CompherL000-110.132204321:21
18A. NewhookC000020.124002020:07
6E. JohnsonD000-100.00302—19:43
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00200—17:49
11A. CoglianoC101-120.22210015:28
88A. EnglundD000+100.00215—12:42
93J. FoudyC000030.18014012:02
47A. GalchenyukC000-120.05100010:36
12J. MegnaC000010.022004009:36
26J. MacDonaldD000-100.00012—09:33
36A. BlidhL000020.04200—08:44
22D. HuntL000-100.07102—08:37
62A. LehkonenL000010.00000—05:05
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)40355.8753.11-1.8960:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).