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Sharks at Maple Leafs
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre Engvall's goal at 17:33 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were SJS 24, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G), 2. Ilya Samsonov (23 saves, .958), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0711106124
TORTOR010112210332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(12)
    M. Hollowell (2), M. Bunting (11)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:19
  2. SJS
    M. Nieto(6)
    L. Couture (10), N. Cicek (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    P. Engvall(3)
    A. Kerfoot (8), D. Kampf (6)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +41 pts
    1-2
    17:33
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(8)EN
    A. Kerfoot (9)
    wristxG 0.74win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:49

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·TOR 0 PIM

2nd

  • 8:27SJSNick Cicek · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 11:07SJSLuke Kunin · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 14:44SJSNick Cicek · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSJS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre Engvall, 3rd 17:33 — TOR 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.74M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.47P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.36W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.34N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hollowell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hollowell · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 4.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsTOR
2.61 G
All situations
2 G4.4
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS40%60%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsTOR
24
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
49
Hits
18
24
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-230.24130—25:12
24J. MegnaD000000.00530—22:39
5M. BenningD000-210.00140—22:31
28T. MeierR000-230.35410—20:29
48T. HertlC000-120.142004519:28
62K. LabancR000-210.14200—19:26
44M. VlasicD000-200.00250—18:58
39L. CoutureC011-120.157103117:09
83M. NietoL101-130.25000—16:32
94A. BarabanovL000020.28100—16:01
13N. BoninoC000000.110104215:30
51R. SimekD000+120.20430—15:16
11L. KuninC000000.11102015:00
59N. CicekD011+100.02314—13:44
73N. GregorL000040.37310—13:14
16S. LorentzC000000.166003310:43
10E. SvechnikovL000010.05600—07:17
23O. LindblomL000000.00110—06:54
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(L)31292.9353.21+1.2157:57

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).