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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, BSSUN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 2:49 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 56% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 28, BOS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (2 G), 2. Jeremy Swayman (27 saves, .964), 3. Hampus Lindholm.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Hall2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    H. Lindholm

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL07111010128
BOSBOS1901126326

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:07

2nd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    18:20

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Hall(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    2:49
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.72win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:19

Penalties

TBL 2 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:20BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

2nd

  • 17:25BOSPavel Zacha · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min

3rd

  • 1:07TBLNick Perbix · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 3rd 2:49 — BOS 56% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.72B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.62D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.34T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.27P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.21T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 3.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
1.61 G
All situations
2 G3.4
0.90 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL38%62%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000010.03200—24:34
77V. HedmanD000-220.06100—23:34
38B. HagelL000010.151306721:12
81E. CernakD000010.01100—20:51
86N. KucherovR011-140.39000—19:50
21B. PointC011-130.210005019:21
91S. StamkosC101-220.230006318:16
17A. KillornL000-220.01100—18:11
48N. PerbixD000010.01342—17:52
20N. PaulL000-120.091003816:53
79R. ColtonC000030.190005014:55
24Z. BogosianD000-100.00020—14:35
28I. ColeD000010.02020—14:19
10C. PerryR000-110.05010—13:11
90V. NamestnikovC000020.061005012:59
41P. BellemareL000000.001105711:10
14P. MaroonL000010.03200—09:15
45C. KoepkeL000010.01100—08:34
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)25232.9202.10+0.1058:46

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).