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Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 3:41 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were SEA 25, ANA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matty Beniers (1 G, 2 A), 2. Troy Terry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA3111717525
ANAANA11435010429

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:33
  2. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:53
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    14:16
  4. SEA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    19:33

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:48
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.30win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    9:30
  3. ANA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    16:34
  4. ANA
    T. Terry (14), T. Zegras (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    4-4
    17:55

3rd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    5-4
    3:41

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:56SEADaniel Sprong · Hookingdrawn by Brett Leason2 min
  • 13:32SEAJustin Schultz · Holdingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

2nd

  • 8:21ANAAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 15:35SEAWill Borgen · Trippingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 16:55SEACarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

3rd

  • 11:00ANATrevor Zegras · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSEA goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 3rd 3:41 — SEA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.23R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.21A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.20T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.19D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.18M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.16C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.10M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.05S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.04S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsANA
2.45 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA38%62%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsANA
25
Shots on goal
29
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011+210.12110—24:50
29V. DunnD101+330.28210—23:48
24J. OleksiakD000+200.01130—20:45
21A. WennbergC101+210.100204018:55
37Y. GourdeC011020.103101718:35
17J. SchwartzL000+110.15000—17:45
7J. EberleR011+140.2100010017:07
10M. BeniersC123+110.302005016:33
4J. SchultzD011+110.07002—16:24
28C. SoucyD000-110.00222—16:05
13B. TanevL000+100.00300—16:04
3W. BorgenD000-110.05522—15:53
19J. McCannL101+120.28000—15:50
95A. BurakovskyL011+110.10000—15:31
22O. BjorkstrandR011000.02000—12:45
9R. DonatoC011020.17100011:54
91D. SprongR112+130.34112—10:18
67M. GeekieC000010.140105706:15
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Jones(W)29254.8623.14-0.8660:00

Season series

SEA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).