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Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 4:33 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 49, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 49 of 49 (1.000), 5.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (49 saves, 1.000), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin49 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM09017023049
NYINYI01231108331

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(4)SHG
    tip-inxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    4:33
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(5)PPG
    M. Barzal (21), A. Lee (11)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    6:39
  3. NYI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    16:56

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:27EDMLeon Draisaitl · Boardingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 4:11NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 5:21EDMTyson Barrie · Holdingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 7:49NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 4:59NYIAlexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 10:58NYICasey Cizikas · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 13:54NYIMathew Barzal · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalEDM goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 2nd 4:33 — NYI 49% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.41J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.24Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.15J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNYI
5.00 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
2.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM88%12%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.81 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNYI
49
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.13010—26:48
97C. McDavidC000-130.301005524:29
29L. DraisaitlC000-250.760024722:41
5C. CeciD000020.29210—21:49
18Z. HymanL000-1101.62000—20:20
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-230.6410010020:07
2E. BouchardD000-130.07000—19:53
27B. KulakD000-130.03210—18:30
13J. PuljujarviR000-120.11020—16:42
22T. BarrieD000-120.10002—16:17
71R. McLeodC000050.101103814:40
37W. FoegeleL000010.04200—14:22
21K. KostinC000030.47200011:21
26M. JanmarkC000000.00000011:15
55D. HollowayL000000.07000—10:39
24B. MaloneC000020.033107509:28
80M. NiemelainenD000010.13210—08:45
10D. RyanC000010.16110008:44
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)31283.9032.03-0.9759:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).