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Senators at Sharks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
San Jose Sharks
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN5·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 1:18 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — OTT 3.0, SJS 3.0; shots on goal were OTT 38, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 A), 2. Kaapo Kahkonen (37 saves, .974), 3. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    K. Kahkonen37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11308017138
SJSSJS1332117531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    N. Gregor(1)
    L. Kunin (5), M. Benning (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:22
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(7)
    B. Tkachuk (15)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:14

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(9)
    E. Karlsson (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:18
  2. SJS
    M. Nieto(4)
    M. Benning (5), A. Barabanov (10)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    4:53
  3. SJS
    T. Hertl(5)PPG
    L. Kunin (6), L. Couture (7)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    15:56

3rd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(10)EN
    J. Megna (7), L. Kunin (7)
    wristxG 0.56
    1-5
    19:01

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·SJS 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:04OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 18:08SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 2:22OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cicek5 min
  • 2:22SJSNick Cicek · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 14:01OTTTravis Hamonic · Trippingdrawn by Jaycob Megna2 min

3rd

  • 11:05SJSErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 12:48OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalOTT goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 1:18 — SJS 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.56T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.14E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.13N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSJS
3.01 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT60%40%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSJS
38
Shots on goal
31
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-160.16110—23:34
26E. BrannstromD000-100.03120—22:12
2A. ZubD000-150.08222—22:11
18T. StützleC101-150.790103321:24
28C. GirouxR000-210.170005620:47
7B. TkachukL011-150.394026719:46
12A. DeBrincatR000-110.05110—19:13
19D. BathersonR000-130.421006718:44
5N. HoldenD000-110.02400—17:20
23T. HamonicD000-120.04212—16:43
57S. PintoC000-130.252106314:54
32J. LarssonD000-100.00110—14:40
14T. MotteC000-120.35120014:20
61D. BrassardC000-130.213106012:32
45P. KellyC000000.02330011:01
16A. WatsonL000-100.00100—10:23
27D. GambrellC000010.030003308:42
47M. KastelicC000000.004157007:49
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg23221.9571.85+0.8532:57
33C. Talbot(L)743.5710.54-2.4624:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).