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Ducks at Blues
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV BSW, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 15:47 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 58% to 90%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.2, STL 3.3; shots on goal were ANA 28, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (2 G), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (27 saves, .964).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    N. Acciari2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington27 saves, .964

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1150706128
STLSTL1901127327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    N. Acciari(4)
    B. Schenn (11)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:11
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler(2)
    I. Lundestrom (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:42

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Faulk(4)PPG
    R. Thomas (12), J. Kyrou (7)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +33 pts
    1-2
    15:47
  2. STL
    N. Acciari(5)EN
    P. Buchnevich (8)
    wristxG 0.66win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:41

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:17ANAMason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 6:51ANASimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 5:11STLNick Leddy · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 10:19STLBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 14:22ANADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 3rd 15:47 — STL 58% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.66I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.20N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.16B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.16A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.14N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.11C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.00R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
3.21 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD101-120.10010—25:23
11T. ZegrasC000-130.33100022:24
19T. TerryR000061.10000—21:36
14A. HenriqueC000-130.580205319:59
3J. KlingbergD000-130.28110—18:46
22K. ShattenkirkD000+120.04000—18:14
29D. KulikovD000-110.01112—18:09
49M. JonesL000000.1220010016:32
37M. McTavishC000020.342125015:46
20B. LeasonR000010.04220—15:39
16R. StromeC000-210.000003814:54
77F. VatranoR000-100.00110—14:15
45C. WhiteD000000.00110—13:32
21I. LundestromC011+110.04000013:30
33J. SilfverbergR000-120.14020—13:21
13S. BenoitD000010.03122—12:30
48A. StrandD000000.08110—11:38
39S. CarrickC000+100.000003809:51
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)26242.9232.66+0.6658:36

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).