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Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Minnesota Wild 6-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 18:20 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 32, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 2 A), 2. Kris Letang (1 G), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT24116312632
MINMIN052929423

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:15
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:03

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:31
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:43
  3. PIT
    K. Letang(1)PPG
    S. Crosby (11), E. Malkin (11)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    18:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    4-2
    5:50
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    11:23
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    5-3
    14:33
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.47win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    16:31
  5. MIN
    snapxG 0.13
    6-4
    19:52

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:41PITJan Rutta · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 12:39MINMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 15:33PITJosh Archibald · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Filip Gustavsson2 min
  • 16:29MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 17:45MINConnor Dewar · High stickingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 4:57MINBrandon Duhaime · Slashingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 6:05PITJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 11:13MINMason Shaw · Cross checkingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPIT goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, 2nd 18:20 — PIT 52% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.27K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.15B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.14C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.14M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.13B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.07M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsMIN
3.65 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.62 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT59%41%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
23
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000+120.01620—21:20
58K. LetangD101-130.23210—20:48
8B. DumoulinD000000.03210—18:51
87S. CrosbyC224030.301007018:37
67R. RakellR011+120.08200—18:35
28M. PetterssonD011000.00420—18:21
59J. GuentzelC123061.69100018:17
16J. ZuckerL000-110.41110—17:30
71E. MalkinC011-210.060103317:21
44J. RuttaD000010.05132—17:14
17B. RustR000-220.25000—16:14
73P. JosephD000+100.01100—16:04
77J. CarterC011+100.000126215:01
43D. HeinenL011020.07000—14:44
23B. McGinnL101+110.03100—12:53
53T. BluegerC011020.061005011:58
25R. PoehlingC101020.07000011:06
15J. ArchibaldR011+140.30202—09:36
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)23194.8262.26-1.7459:30

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).