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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV TNT, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Moore's goal at 17:12 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 32, EDM 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Trevor Moore (3 G), 2. Zach Hyman (1 G), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Moore3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK11311217332
EDMEDM061809123

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:23

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    12:47
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:12

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.41win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:07

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

2nd

  • 3:10LAKAlexander Edler · Kneeingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 3:10EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 3:10EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 3:10LAKAlexander Edler · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 4:51EDMZach Hyman · Holding the stickdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 9:12LAKPhillip Danault · Holdingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:18EDMConnor McDavid · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 15:09EDMConnor McDavid · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Moore, 2nd 17:12 — LAK 48% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.25W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.21R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.18D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.17W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
2.62 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK52%48%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
39
29
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000010.02210—26:06
44M. AndersonD000010.02210—23:20
11A. KopitarC000040.602405621:09
50S. DurziD011+200.03330—20:29
9A. KempeR000020.06400—20:23
12T. MooreL303+340.552105020:13
13G. VilardiC000030.13220019:51
33V. ArvidssonL033+310.07030—18:06
3M. RoyD000+110.05320—17:56
24P. DanaultC011+340.431227316:31
22K. FialaL000020.05200—15:55
91C. GrundstromR000030.34310—14:04
2A. EdlerD000010.00014—13:53
89R. KupariC000010.101106013:14
26S. WalkerD000020.03040—13:02
46B. LizotteC000-110.030102908:56
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-100.00020007:38
34A. KaliyevR000010.05000—07:24
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)23221.9572.05+1.0559:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).