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Wild at Predators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV BSSO, BSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 0:32 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 9% to 24%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.8, NSH 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 33, NSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Juuse Saros stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (32 saves, .970), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Johansen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01701016133
NSHNSH2110707225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(7)
    R. Johansen (4), M. Duchene (9)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:20
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(4)PPG
    R. Johansen (5), R. Josi (7)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    12:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(3)
    M. Zuccarello (10), K. Kaprizov (8)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:32

Penalties

MIN 22 PIM·NSH 24 PIM

1st

  • 2:54NSHEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Adam Beckman2 min
  • 8:50MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 11:40MINSam Steel · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 13:53NSHCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 13:53MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 15:44NSHRyan Johansen · High sticking double minordrawn by Brandon Duhaime4 min

2nd

  • 1:26MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon5 min
  • 1:26NSHJeremy Lauzon · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 6:38NSHserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:17MINMarco Rossi · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 17:12NSHMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 18:10MINserved by A. Beckman · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:44MINMathew Dumba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:32NSHJeremy Lauzon · High stickingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 20:00NSHDante Fabbro · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 20:00MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMIN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 3rd 0:32 — MIN 9% → 24%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.48M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.40R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNSH
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN59%41%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
25
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/5
Power play
1/5
22
Penalty minutes
24
22
Hits
43
10
Blocked shots
19
6
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-120.06000—23:51
46J. SpurgeonD000+110.01220—21:57
36M. ZuccarelloR011+110.33110—21:39
97K. KaprizovL011+130.47000—21:38
89F. GaudreauC101+130.161004719:59
24M. DumbaD000-100.08002—19:38
14J. Eriksson EkC000030.193024019:05
2C. AddisonD000030.06200—18:16
12M. BoldyL000-160.5100010017:40
26C. DewarC000010.03210015:50
4J. MerrillD000020.20100—15:32
5J. MiddletonD000+100.01335—14:44
15M. ShawC000050.222105014:26
23M. RossiC000-100.002042213:13
17M. FolignoL000-100.08215—11:39
13S. SteelC000010.240127509:05
53A. BeckmanL000020.13000—08:24
21B. DuhaimeL000000.00100—07:13
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)25232.9202.31+0.3157:47

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).