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Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSSO, SNW·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Edmonton Oilers 7-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 19:40 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 22, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 3.3 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (3 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (20 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov20 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM081816222
CARCAR11436312732

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:40

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:58
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(7)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    7:25
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    10:24
  4. CAR
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    19:59

3rd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    7:26
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei (5), J. Fast (2)
    batxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:27
  3. CAR
    S. Aho (10), C. de Haan (1)
    backhandxG 0.08
    2-6
    15:49
  4. CAR
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.14
    2-7
    17:42

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:05EDMMattias Janmark · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 9:19CARBrady Skjei · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Dylan Holloway0 min

2nd

  • 0:49CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 3:53EDMMarkus Niemelainen · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 5:14EDMDerek Ryan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:53CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 17:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalEDM goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 1st 19:40 — CAR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.27A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.24S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.22J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.18P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.17B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.16B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.16J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.08J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR7 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCAR
3.32 G
All situations
7 G3.7
1.91 G
Even strength
6 G3.3
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
5
4
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-330.05030—22:47
29L. DraisaitlC011-240.713025021:25
18Z. HymanL101-320.50110—20:30
22T. BarrieD011-200.00010—19:07
2E. BouchardD000-110.01110—19:03
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-210.213008019:01
97C. McDavidC112-130.480105518:36
5C. CeciD000-110.12020—18:04
27B. KulakD011-210.01230—17:38
71R. McLeodC000-110.120002016:27
55D. HollowayL000-320.70110—15:15
13J. PuljujarviR000000.06000—14:37
28R. MurrayD000-110.11120—13:48
37W. FoegeleL000-120.13310—13:46
10D. RyanC000-100.080123312:28
14D. ShoreC000-100.053004012:27
26M. JanmarkC000000.0010210010:52
80M. NiemelainenD000000.01202—07:53
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)32257.7813.69-3.3159:32

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).