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Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV TNT, SN1·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 5-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Will Borgen's goal at 7:29 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 25, SEA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 3. Will Borgen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    A. Burakovsky1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Eberle2 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    W. Borgen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0811106125
SEASEA470518520

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:38
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:29
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:16
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    16:25

2nd period

  1. NSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:25

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.95
    1-5
    18:49

Penalties

NSH 2 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:08SEAOliver Bjorkstrand · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

2nd

  • 13:26SEAMorgan Geekie · Hookingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

3rd

  • 9:05NSHMatt Duchene · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNSH goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Will Borgen, 1st 7:29 — SEA 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.95J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.14R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.10M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08W. Borgen · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.06J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA5 G · 2.6 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSEA
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH58%42%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSEA
25
Shots on goal
20
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
22
12
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-240.07010—24:02
95M. DucheneC000-310.220022520:36
14M. EkholmD000+130.10200—20:04
64M. GranlundC000-300.041103319:25
9F. ForsbergL101-230.38120—19:07
46J. GrossD000000.02010—18:15
3J. LauzonD000-310.10100—18:07
27R. McDonaghD000-300.00120—17:55
57D. FabbroD000010.02020—17:29
84T. JeannotL000030.23510—16:47
22N. NiederreiterR000-210.07100—15:41
92R. JohansenC000-210.041107915:04
10C. SissonsC000000.021107014:13
13Y. TreninC000020.08000013:33
17M. JankowskiL000000.001105013:16
12Z. SanfordL000-210.27000—13:06
36C. SmithR000030.40510—11:34
47M. McCarronC000010.03110011:29
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen131301.0001.30+1.3041:52
74J. Saros(L)624.3330.40-3.6016:25

Season series

SEA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).