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Oilers at Lightning
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV TNT, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 0:49 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 11% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 29, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Point (2 A), 3. Jack Campbell (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Campbell35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM17212010329
TBLTBL11606115237

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(1)SHG
    R. McLeod (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    7:45
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(5)
    N. Kucherov (15), B. Point (8)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:53

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(14)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (9), T. Barrie (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    2:09
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(9)PPG
    C. McDavid (15), Z. Hyman (10)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    4:07

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(4)
    N. Perbix (2), B. Point (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    0:49

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:46EDMTyson Barrie · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 10:16EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 1:20TBLMikhail Sergachev · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 3:58TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 6:20EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:06EDMWarren Foegele · Boardingdrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
  • 14:55EDMDerek Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:45TBLSteven Stamkos · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:40TBLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalEDM goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 3rd 0:49 — TBL 11% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.18C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Missed · xG 0.14P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.06N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsTBL
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.82 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM53%47%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsTBL
29
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
25
19
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112050.674024423:41
25D. NurseD000-210.00210—22:54
18Z. HymanL011-230.1522010022:39
29L. DraisaitlC101-240.830206721:30
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011020.12110020:27
22T. BarrieD011-210.01012—19:24
27B. KulakD000+100.00130—18:22
5C. CeciD000+100.00130—18:00
13J. PuljujarviR000050.35200—16:59
56K. YamamotoR000000.00510—15:52
2E. BouchardD000020.04030—15:36
28R. MurrayD000000.00110—15:35
71R. McLeodC011+120.291003114:10
37W. FoegeleL101+120.55412—12:09
10D. RyanC000-100.001025011:44
91E. KaneL000-110.40100—07:53
80M. NiemelainenD000000.00400—07:22
55D. HollowayL000010.17300—05:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)37352.9462.92+0.9260:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).