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Golden Knights at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Reilly Smith scoring at 0:23. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 0:23 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 20, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Erik Kallgren stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (2 G), 2. Timothy Liljegren (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    T. Liljegren2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK28051611420
TORTOR172150900331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(4)
    W. Carrier (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:45
  2. TOR
    T. Liljegren(1)
    D. Kampf (3), Z. Aston-Reese (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:05
  3. VGK
    J. Eichel(6)
    M. Stone (7), C. Stephenson (6)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    17:55

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(3)
    A. Matthews (8), R. Sandin (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:50
  2. TOR
    T. Liljegren(2)
    M. Marner (13), M. Rielly (10)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    16:56

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(6)SHG
    W. Karlsson (7), B. McNabb (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +33 pts
    3-3
    11:43

Overtime

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(7)
    S. Theodore (7), W. Karlsson (8)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:23

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:32VGKserved by P. Kessel · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:06TORMichael Bunting · Interferencedrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

3rd

  • 4:36TORMitch Marner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:22VGKMichael Amadio · Holdingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVGK goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, OT 0:23 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.19W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.18A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.17J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.14M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08T. Liljegren · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · Goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsTOR
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK46%54%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsTOR
20
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
34
12
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011+120.21020—21:57
7A. PietrangeloD000+100.02310—21:17
20C. StephensonC011-110.152004420:20
61M. StoneR011-120.28000—19:55
3B. McNabbD011010.08320—19:20
23A. MartinezD000+100.00230—18:42
9J. EichelC101020.312106718:17
71W. KarlssonC022+220.253002917:50
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.00410—17:49
14N. HagueD000-110.03310—17:44
10N. RoyC101-110.151003017:26
19R. SmithR202+240.69500—15:37
81J. MarchessaultR000010.07200—14:51
55K. KolesarR000010.1331010013:43
28W. CarrierL011020.61600—12:08
8P. KesselR000000.00100—11:37
21B. HowdenC000000.050002510:39
22M. AmadioR000000.002025007:57
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(W)31283.9033.32+0.3260:23

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).