Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 18:24 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 28, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Zack MacEwen (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Hart33 saves, .971

- ★★C. Giroux1 G

- ★★★Z. MacEwen1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-12:44
1-15:17
2nd period
2-118:24
Penalties
1st
- 5:12
Thomas Chabot · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
- 19:18
Travis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
2nd
- 2:18
Nick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
- 6:07
Mark Kastelic · High stickingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
- 7:53
Zack MacEwen · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
- 14:08
Lukas Sedlak · Interferencedrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
3rd
- 5:03
Nikita Zaitsev · Cross checkingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
- 12:59
Travis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 2nd 18:24 — 47% → 71%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.82 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.9
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.9
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.86
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 30
- Hits
- 33
- 28
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 7
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 2-1
2@
1this game
4@
1Final
4@
5OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
