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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV CBC, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Flames scored first; the Oilers answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 12:24 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.4, CGY 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 26, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Stuart Skinner (40 saves, .952), 3. Brett Ritchie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Ritchie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0811226326
CGYCGY07221014242

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(3)SHG
    E. Lindholm (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:29
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(5)PPG
    C. McDavid (8), L. Draisaitl (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    5:02
  3. CGY
    B. Ritchie(3)
    T. Lewis (1), M. Lucic (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    16:06

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(9)
    C. Ceci (2), D. Holloway (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    9:02
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(6)
    C. McDavid (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:24

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:59CGYMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 16:52CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:27EDMDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 4:14CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 7:53EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:08CGYNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 13:44EDMDarnell Nurse · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 12:24 — EDM 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.19J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.18B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.17D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.16K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.16M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.3 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
3.43 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G2.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
42
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
12
14
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+110.02302—22:58
29L. DraisaitlC011-120.341105621:59
5C. CeciD011+110.18120—21:44
22T. BarrieD000-110.07040—20:24
91E. KaneL000-110.19410—19:45
2E. BouchardD000020.24220—19:02
97C. McDavidC123010.180104419:00
27B. KulakD000000.00110—17:56
18Z. HymanL202+140.86000—17:35
56K. YamamotoR000020.16100—17:13
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000+140.4810210017:11
71R. McLeodC000000.121106915:31
80M. NiemelainenD000000.00610—15:25
13J. PuljujarviR000-120.06300—12:25
37W. FoegeleL000020.22300—12:21
10D. RyanC000020.080123309:55
14D. ShoreC000010.09010008:10
55D. HollowayL011000.082005005:29
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)42402.9523.31+1.3159:57

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).