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Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV ROOT-NW, SNP·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Seattle Kraken 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 1:16 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 19, SEA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Mikheyev (2 G), 2. Jared McCann (1 G), 3. Andrei Kuzmenko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    I. Mikheyev2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    A. Kuzmenko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN192723519
SEASEA21418114436

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:38
  2. SEA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:39
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:44

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    3:58
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    14:17
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:32

3rd period

  1. VAN
    batxG 0.13win prob +23 pts
    4-3
    1:16
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.42win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:35
  3. SEA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-4
    19:30

Penalties

VAN 23 PIM·SEA 19 PIM

1st

  • 2:27SEAAdam Larsson · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Pearson5 min
  • 2:27VANTanner Pearson · Fightingdrawn by Adam Larsson5 min
  • 3:27VANJ.T. Miller · Fightingdrawn by Carson Soucy5 min
  • 3:27SEACarson Soucy · Fightingdrawn by J.T. Miller5 min
  • 8:04VANLuke Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 2:16SEAWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 12:51SEAAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 16:54SEAMorgan Geekie · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
  • 16:54VANElias Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 16:54VANKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Morgan Geekie5 min

3rd

  • 4:43VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:09VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalVAN goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 3rd 1:16 — VAN 48% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.20J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.17M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.14J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.12M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.11D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.10J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.07J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01
SEA4 G · 2.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSEA
1.94 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.22 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN27%73%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSEA
19
Shots on goal
36
58%
Faceoffs
42%
2/2
Power play
1/4
23
Penalty minutes
19
21
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
10
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.05232—27:47
57T. MyersD000010.05132—26:01
53B. HorvatC000010.190007324:17
9J. MillerC011010.07415021:43
40E. PetterssonC112+210.121225720:11
8C. GarlandR112020.45000—19:16
2L. SchennD022000.00702—18:59
55G. BriseboisD000-110.08010—16:33
65I. MikheyevR202+230.54210—16:23
96A. KuzmenkoL112+220.14000—16:23
44K. BurroughsD000000.00115—15:05
3J. RathboneD000+100.00010—13:59
70T. PearsonL000-100.00105—11:49
88N. AmanC000-110.040002911:02
81D. JoshuaC000-130.15000009:23
21N. HoglanderL000-100.00120—09:03
15S. DriesC011-110.020103608:07
92V. PodkolzinR000-110.01100—07:38
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)36324.8892.76-1.2460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).