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Panthers at Flyers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, BSFL·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Panthers scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 51, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 48 of 51 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (2 A), 2. Kevin Hayes (2 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA219011121351
PHIPHI292805422

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(2)
    A. Barkov (5), C. Verhaeghe (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:41
  2. PHI
    T. DeAngelo(2)
    T. Konecny (3), J. Farabee (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:41
  3. FLA
    J. Mahura(2)
    R. Gudas (3), C. White (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:58
  4. PHI
    S. Laughton(3)PPG
    T. Konecny (4), K. Hayes (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    2-2
    15:28

2nd period

  1. PHI
    Z. MacEwen(2)
    N. Seeler (1), N. Deslauriers (1)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    10:17
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(2)
    K. Hayes (9), O. Tippett (1)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    11:29

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(2)PPG
    S. Reinhart (2), M. Tkachuk (6)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    0:36

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·PHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:12PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 8:12FLAPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:08FLAEetu Luostarinen · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 4:07PHITony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 12:44PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 19:44PHILukas Sedlak · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 1:46PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 1:46FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min
  • 3:18PHIMorgan Frost · Slashingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 8:08FLAColin White · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalFLA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 2nd 10:17 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.43J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.12T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.12N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04L. Sedlak · Missed · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · Goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPHI
4.33 G
All situations
4 G1.8
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.81 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA87%13%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.26 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPHI
51
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
34
8
Blocked shots
32
4
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD101-150.21000—27:20
19M. TkachukL011070.60100—24:27
16A. BarkovC011060.761205824:17
13S. ReinhartC011-130.61100021:52
42G. ForslingD101-130.19100—21:51
15A. LundellC000050.230004019:38
7R. GudasD011050.13630—18:54
9S. BennettC000-150.475023318:44
23C. VerhaegheC011010.25000015:42
28J. MahuraD101030.12120—15:16
18M. StaalD000010.04100—14:37
3M. KierstedD000000.06000—12:49
27E. LuostarinenC000010.05002011:46
6C. WhiteC011010.244026711:19
12E. StaalC000000.020006910:37
70P. HornqvistR000040.29202—09:14
38R. BalcersL000-110.02300—08:54
94R. LombergL000000.02110—08:37
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)22184.8181.76-2.2457:46

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).