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Panthers at Blackhawks
NHL

Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSFL·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 19:37 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were FLA 31, CHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 2. Philipp Kurashev (1 G), 3. Alex Stalock (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kurashev1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Stalock29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0709215231
CHICHI271916422

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:57
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:37

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    15:58

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.25win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    11:32
  2. FLA
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    12:47
  3. CHI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.66win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:37

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·CHI 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:20FLAColin White · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Stalock2 min

2nd

  • 2:11CHIJake McCabe · High sticking double minordrawn by Eetu Luostarinen4 min
  • 6:20CHISam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 9:35CHITyler Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:00CHIJason Dickinson · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 13:54FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Holding the stickdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 17:34FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 17:34CHIMax Domi · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min

3rd

  • 13:07CHIMax Domi · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalFLA goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 1st 19:37 — CHI 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.66S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.53S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.20A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.14M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.13S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.11S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 2.5 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCHI
3.12 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA83%17%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 1.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
22
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/6
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
14
17
Hits
29
6
Blocked shots
20
9
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011020.10100—28:24
19M. TkachukL101-230.08102—22:26
42G. ForslingD000010.06010—21:31
16A. BarkovC000-150.500105421:23
13S. ReinhartC000-110.14200020:55
9S. BennettC000-130.490001119:58
7R. GudasD000-210.04302—19:00
15A. LundellC011-120.180005017:29
23C. VerhaegheC011+120.40100017:29
38R. BalcersL000-100.00100—16:14
28J. MahuraD000020.07110—16:07
18M. StaalD000000.00030—13:05
27E. LuostarinenC101+120.35000012:32
6C. WhiteC011+120.34102012:17
94R. LombergL000-100.09100—11:00
70P. HornqvistR000040.2630010010:25
3M. KierstedD000+110.00100—10:02
21N. CousinsC000000.001005006:55
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)21183.8571.19-1.8158:11

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).