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St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV BSMW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 10:30 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 25, WPG 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 39 of 42 (.929); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0130507025
WPGWPG01319321443

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:30

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:38
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    13:43
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.49
    0-4
    18:26

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:48WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 14:18WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 19:15STLBrayden Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

2nd

  • 5:20STLNiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 17:06STLNiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 14:35STLJordan Kyrou · Holding the stickdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 15:33STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 20:00STLAlexey Toropchenko · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 20:00WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 10:30 — WPG 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.49K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.15M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.15A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.11N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.9 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
1.90 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL25%75%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
25
Shots on goal
43
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
39
16
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-210.11320—24:36
72J. FaulkD000-130.06220—23:35
4N. LeddyD000-110.03120—23:07
18R. ThomasC000-210.080107119:39
90R. O'ReillyC000-250.580005919:38
47T. KrugD000-320.02020—19:37
25J. KyrouR000-240.26002—17:50
10B. SchennC000-310.04114016:10
49I. BarbashevL000-110.10210—15:40
91V. TarasenkoR000-130.25020—15:04
52N. AcciariC000-100.243206414:41
77N. MikkolaD000000.00014—12:53
22L. BrownC000000.002004012:32
41R. BortuzzoD000000.01000—12:30
26N. WalkerL000010.04200—12:24
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00102—11:55
63J. NeighboursL000-100.00000—11:26
17J. LeivoL000-120.13200—07:12
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)42393.9293.44+0.4459:32

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).