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Sabres at Canucks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
1
FinalTV MSG-B, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Olofsson's goal at 1:54 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were BUF 27, VAN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Craig Anderson (29 saves, .967), 3. Victor Olofsson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Anderson29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    V. Olofsson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF21007310527
VANVAN01211008130

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(5)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (3), T. Thompson (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:35
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(6)
    J. Skinner (2)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:18

2nd period

  1. VAN
    C. Garland(2)PPG
    T. Pearson (4), I. Mikheyev (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    13:27

3rd period

  1. BUF
    V. Olofsson(3)
    C. Mittelstadt (4), R. Asplund (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    1:54
  2. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(2)EN
    V. Olofsson (1), K. Okposo (2)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    16:31
  3. BUF
    V. Olofsson(4)
    R. Dahlin (3), R. Asplund (3)
    wristxG 0.18
    5-1
    17:21

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:11VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 6:19BUFJJ Peterka · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min
  • 8:53BUFTage Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 11:40BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min

3rd

  • 6:39BUFIlya Lyubushkin · Hookingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalBUF goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Olofsson, 3rd 1:54 — BUF 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.30J. Rathbone · Missed · xG 0.19A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.19B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.17T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.13C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.11C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.11I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rathbone · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rathbone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rathbone · On goal · xG 0.00V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsVAN
4.24 G
All situations
1 G3.0
3.13 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.01 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF57%43%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
40
18
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
6
13
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD000+200.00020—25:27
26R. DahlinD112+220.03522—22:59
78J. BrysonD000+100.00130—22:15
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.03332—20:37
45C. FitzgeraldD000+130.21100—18:45
24D. CozensC000+110.160004117:08
29V. HinostrozaC000010.29010016:03
72T. ThompsonC011010.170024615:42
89A. TuchR101+120.44000—15:15
74R. AsplundC022+210.1020010014:55
71V. OlofssonL213+320.35010—14:49
37C. MittelstadtC022+110.220006214:32
53J. SkinnerL011+130.53010—14:22
77J. PeterkaR000020.32002—13:18
21K. OkposoR011+150.26000—13:00
28Z. GirgensonsC101+110.891403312:07
22J. QuinnR000+100.12010—11:12
23M. SamuelssonD000+110.02400—09:47
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)30291.9673.00+2.0060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).