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Flyers at Predators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV BSSO, NBCSP+·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 18:36 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 62% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 25, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (1 G, 2 A), 2. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2601118325
NSHNSH01201515132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(1)
    J. Farabee (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +4 pts
    1-0
    3:13
  2. PHI
    Z. MacEwen(1)
    E. Zamula (2), J. Farabee (2)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +10 pts
    2-0
    18:36

3rd period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(1)
    K. Hayes (7), I. Provorov (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    7:44
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(2)PPG
    F. Forsberg (2), M. Granlund (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    17:42

Penalties

PHI 16 PIM·NSH 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:15PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 2:15NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:21PHIIvan Provorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 16:47PHINick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 16:47NSHCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min

2nd

  • 7:42NSHRyan Johansen · Holdingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 8:27PHIMorgan Frost · Delaying game smothering puck2 min

3rd

  • 13:36NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 16:13PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPHI goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 1st 18:36 — PHI 62% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.17N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH1 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNSH
2.03 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI30%70%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNSH
25
Shots on goal
32
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/2
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
14
19
Hits
38
22
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD000+130.09140—24:04
9I. ProvorovD011+230.11242—22:53
6T. SanheimD000+100.02410—21:32
11T. KonecnyR000+240.35010—21:08
21S. LaughtonC000000.285004519:00
86J. FarabeeL123+230.18120—18:49
61J. BraunD000+100.00010—18:39
13K. HayesR112+320.190002918:36
49N. CatesL000010.070201418:35
54E. ZamulaD011+110.02010—16:50
24N. SeelerD000000.00035—15:42
48M. FrostC000000.063123313:46
57W. AllisonR000020.20110—13:31
25J. van RiemsdykL000+100.00012—13:29
17Z. MacEwenR101+130.27100—11:24
23L. SedlakC000030.131003309:45
58T. LaczynskiC000000.02000008:28
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00005—08:20
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)32311.9692.82+1.8260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).