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Sabres at Oilers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
2
FinalTV MSG-B, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 5:15 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.4 to 3.8; shots on goal were BUF 24, EDM 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 3.4 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Eric Comrie (46 saves, .958), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    E. Comrie46 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1721215424
EDMEDM115010123248

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(3)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:00
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse(2)
    L. Draisaitl (5), C. Ceci (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    4:23

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(1)
    J. Skinner (1)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:44
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(2)
    V. Hinostroza (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:15

3rd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(1)
    C. McDavid (2)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    18:27
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(2)EN
    D. Cozens (2)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:55

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:38EDMBrett Kulak · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 3:38BUFJeff Skinner · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 3:55EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 5:40BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Murray2 min
  • 16:28BUFTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 2:20EDMWarren Foegele · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 2:20BUFIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 2:20EDMWarren Foegele · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 8:08BUFHenri Jokiharju · Holding the stickdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 15:59EDMRyan McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

3rd

  • 12:35EDMDarnell Nurse · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalBUF goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: JJ Peterka, 2nd 5:15 — BUF 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.32Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.22E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM2 G · 5.4 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsEDM
3.83 G
All situations
2 G5.4
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G2.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF18%82%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 5.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
48
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
18
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD000-130.09020—23:41
26R. DahlinD101+250.37120—23:21
23M. SamuelssonD000+210.01520—22:45
10H. JokiharjuD000-100.00102—20:18
24D. CozensC011+110.170105519:09
89A. TuchR101+141.61310—18:00
72T. ThompsonC101+120.571024217:08
53J. SkinnerL011+110.09012—16:30
78J. BrysonD000000.02100—16:21
21K. OkposoR000000.091106715:25
74R. AsplundC000010.220005015:22
37C. MittelstadtC011-100.000003914:48
71V. OlofssonL000-130.320005014:42
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.010102512:10
77J. PeterkaR101+110.19000—12:09
29V. HinostrozaC011+110.03000011:44
19P. KrebsC000000.00102009:51
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00222—08:36
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Comrie(W)48462.9585.42+3.4260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).