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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSWIX, BSW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 7-6. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 8:03 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were LAK 34, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.2 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (3 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK41421317734
MINMIN21229214635

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:28
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:55
  3. LAK
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    11:13
  4. MIN
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    12:57
  5. MIN
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    16:43
  6. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    18:28

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    5:25
  2. LAK
    K. Fiala(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    9:11
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    5-4
    12:12
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    6-4
    13:10

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    6-5
    5:56
  2. MIN
    pokexG 0.34win prob +29 pts
    6-6
    7:32
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +30 pts
    7-6
    8:03

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·MIN 14 PIM

1st

  • 1:47MINKirill Kaprizov · Trippingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 9:23MINMarco Rossi · Hookingdrawn by Arthur Kaliyev2 min
  • 18:56MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:33LAKDrew Doughty · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 3:57MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 3:57LAKBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 3:57LAKBlake Lizotte · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 8:40MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 11:03LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 14:42LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 17:41MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min

3rd

  • 5:47LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 14:37LAKQuinton Byfield · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:14MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, 3rd 8:03 — LAK 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.34M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.15M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.14F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03J. Middleton · Goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
3.07 G
All situations
6 G2.8
1.45 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.52 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
35
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/6
Power play
3/6
14
Penalty minutes
14
5
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
7
4
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101+140.22014—27:32
50S. DurziD000+110.03100—22:01
11A. KopitarC033+120.031306821:13
3M. RoyD112+210.03020—20:33
9A. KempeR213+130.67114—19:29
44M. AndersonD022+110.01050—19:07
24P. DanaultC000-100.001306118:14
22K. FialaL123+160.61010—18:13
12T. MooreL000-160.36000—17:47
13G. VilardiC112+220.420003317:36
19A. IafalloL112+220.16010—16:16
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.300105015:26
92B. ClarkeD000-110.03010—12:29
55Q. ByfieldR011+210.020021012:26
2A. EdlerD000000.00100—11:33
46B. LizotteC000010.130026008:12
34A. KaliyevR011010.02010—06:58
48B. LemieuxL011000.0000210006:09
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)35296.8292.79-3.2160:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).