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Canadiens at Capitals
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSWA, SNE·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 11:43 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 22, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Darcy Kuemper stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (21 saves, .955), 2. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper21 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL081509122
WSHWSH01231403329

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wrap-aroundxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    2:01
  2. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    9:02
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:43
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    15:20

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·WSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:05WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 6:46WSHConor Sheary · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 14:06MTLMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 16:03MTLArber Xhekaj · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 9:56WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Kneeingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 16:57WSHAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle5 min
  • 16:57MTLKaiden Guhle · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min
  • 20:00MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 20:00WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 20:00MTLBrendan Gallagher · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 11:43 — WSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.57C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.50T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.39N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.35T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.34T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.21A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.18C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.17A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.15T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 4.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWSH
2.01 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL28%72%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
29
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
13
21
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58D. SavardD000-220.02140—24:43
21K. GuhleD000-200.00635—20:29
6C. WidemanD000+130.10000—18:34
14N. SuzukiC101020.240105018:17
91S. MonahanC000-120.130006918:05
22C. CaufieldR011-220.13000—17:15
28C. DvorakC000000.001205016:53
11B. GallagherR000030.44104—16:45
17J. AndersonR000-120.3651010016:37
77K. DachC000020.181006316:14
26J. KovacevicD000030.10200—16:11
54J. HarrisD000000.05120—15:35
63E. DadonovL000000.03000—15:29
27J. DrouinL000000.00000—15:16
72A. XhekajD011+100.03332—15:05
20J. SlafkovskýL000+100.11000—12:41
68M. HoffmanC000000.00032012:16
71J. EvansC000010.090107311:56
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)29263.8973.49+0.4958:25

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).