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Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCA·O2 Czech Republic

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Sharks scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 12:13 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were NSH 18, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (2 G), 2. Mario Ferraro (2 A), 3. Roman Josi (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    N. Niederreiter2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Ferraro2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH073803318
SJSSJS11117015233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    L. Kunin(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    14:24

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:35
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:45
  3. NSH
    wrap-aroundxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:29
  4. NSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    12:13

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:05SJSTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 3:06NSHYakov Trenin · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 13:09NSHTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

2nd

  • 10:01NSHNino Niederreiter · Boardingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 13:12SJSJaycob Megna · Interferencedrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

3rd

  • 2:03NSHJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 6:02SJSMatt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 2nd 12:13 — NSH 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.19L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.17K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.11O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
1.63 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH32%68%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
18
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+100.02120—22:44
59R. JosiD011+220.13000—22:15
27R. McDonaghD011+100.00130—22:10
64M. GranlundC011010.091104021:23
45A. CarrierD000+110.00140—19:20
95M. DucheneC011+100.020104018:23
9F. ForsbergL101040.54100—17:51
10C. SissonsC000+100.052205916:51
84T. JeannotL000010.07512—15:18
28E. TolvanenR011+100.0220010014:49
57D. FabbroD000010.01430—14:37
22N. NiederreiterR202+220.16202—14:20
92R. JohansenC011+110.262006814:17
3J. LauzonD000-100.00622—13:18
13Y. TreninC000020.11222012:35
36C. SmithR000010.00210—11:16
8C. GlassC000010.031102210:44
44K. SherwoodL000010.07000—10:34
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)33312.9392.60+0.6060:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).