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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV TNT, CBC·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 6-3. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 4:26 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 37, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (3 G, 1 A), 2. David Perron (2 G), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Perron2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01541329637
STLSTL1321205320

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(8)
    P. Buchnevich (8)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:07

2nd period

  1. COL
    E. Johnson(1)
    A. Newhook (1), B. Byram (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:44
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(3)
    V. Nichushkin (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:07
  3. COL
    D. Toews(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:26
  4. COL
    N. Kadri(4)
    B. Byram (3), C. Makar (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    7:37
  5. STL
    D. Perron(9)PPG
    S. Perunovich (4), B. Schenn (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    17:02
  6. STL
    P. Buchnevich(1)PPG
    J. Kyrou (2), B. Saad (3)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    19:27

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(5)
    V. Nichushkin (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    9:38
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(1)EN
    N. Kadri (5)
    backhandxG 0.93
    6-3
    19:58

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:29STLDavid Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 12:29COLCale Makar · Cross checkingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 5:30STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 5:30STLDavid Perron · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:39COLDarren Helm · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 17:53COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

3rd

  • 11:27COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 2nd 4:26 — COL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.23P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.21V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rosen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.65 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.25 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
37
Shots on goal
20
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+210.06122—26:39
7D. ToewsD101+220.13110—25:32
92G. LandeskogL000010.222203022:31
29N. MacKinnonC000040.450105822:26
96M. RantanenR101+341.14000—20:12
13V. NichushkinR022+320.13210—18:22
62A. LehkonenL000+130.23302—18:04
42J. MansonD000+120.03100—18:04
6E. JohnsonD101+140.39322—17:17
4B. ByramD022+230.22100—15:53
3J. JohnsonD000+200.00200—15:07
91N. KadriC314+430.192003815:06
43D. HelmC000+120.165123811:43
37J. CompherL000+100.021005710:57
11A. CoglianoC000010.00110010:13
25L. O'ConnorR000040.13110—09:16
18A. NewhookC011+200.020006708:07
16N. Aube-KubelR000010.09100—07:34
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)20173.8501.90-1.1060:00

Series

COL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).