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Predators at Coyotes
NHL

Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
4
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV BSAZX, BSSO·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Nashville Predators 5-4. The Coyotes came back from 4 goals down. The Predators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shayne Gostisbehere's goal at 10:27 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 33, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.6 goals below expected; Harri Sateri stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 G), 2. Harri Sateri (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Travis Boyd (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    H. Sateri27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH41009014433
ARIARI1629212527

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(7)
    R. Josi (73), D. Fabbro (21)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:25
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(26)
    P. Tomasino (21), J. Davies (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:06
  3. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(11)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    2:51
  4. NSH
    M. Granlund(11)
    M. Duchene (43), F. Forsberg (42)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    4-0
    6:57
  5. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(13)
    A. Galchenyuk (14)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    13:21

2nd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(17)
    N. Schmaltz (36), K. Capobianco (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    14:25
  2. ARI
    J. McBain(2)
    A. Roussel (4), L. Eriksson (16)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    18:24

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Carcone(4)
    J. Moser (11), N. Smith (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    4-4
    1:51
  2. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(14)
    A. Galchenyuk (15)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +32 pts
    4-5
    10:27

Penalties

NSH 11 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 13:21ARIBokondji Imama · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 13:21NSHMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Bokondji Imama5 min

2nd

  • 9:17ARIVictor Soderstrom · Slashingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 19:45NSHMikael Granlund · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min

3rd

  • 2:58NSHMatt Duchene · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Schmaltz4 min
  • 6:55ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNSH goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Shayne Gostisbehere, 3rd 10:27 — ARI 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.46M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.33A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.11J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.10T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.10T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.10M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.10J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · Goal · xG 0.08J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.07J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.04T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.04N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsARI
3.64 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.34 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH69%31%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsARI
33
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
28
Hits
43
14
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+260.19020—25:19
57D. FabbroD011+220.07230—20:39
45A. CarrierD000000.08210—20:27
95M. DucheneC011+130.830045020:05
64M. GranlundC101020.161023319:28
9F. ForsbergL011+140.53020—19:19
38J. DaviesD011010.01410—17:47
5M. BenningD000-310.12000—17:00
92R. JohansenC101-120.392005616:46
84T. JeannotL000-220.0740010015:39
13Y. TreninC000-100.09110014:52
10C. SissonsC101-120.120104014:50
90M. BorowieckiD000-300.00525—14:38
47M. McCarronC000020.212007312:31
28E. TolvanenR101020.43310—12:23
26P. TomasinoR011-120.08100—11:29
11L. KuninC000010.19100011:18
24M. LuffR000+110.00000—10:48
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)27225.8152.43-2.5758:42

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).