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Capitals at Rangers
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV NBCSWA, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dryden Hunt's goal at 6:42 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.9, NYR 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 36, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dryden Hunt (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (34 saves, .944), 3. Braden Schneider (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    D. Hunt1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Schneider2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH012212012236
NYRNYR010213110333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(8)
    K. Kakko (10), B. Schneider (8)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:26
  2. WSH
    J. Schultz(4)
    T. van Riemsdyk (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:01
  3. WSH
    J. Carlson(17)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (54), T. Oshie (14)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    5:13
  4. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(19)
    R. Strome (33), B. Schneider (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:44

3rd period

  1. NYR
    D. Hunt(6)
    K. Kakko (11), A. Fox (63)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:42

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:54WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 12:29NYRFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 15:46NYRRyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 15:46WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 0:27NYRPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 4:30NYRKevin Rooney · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 19:03NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 11:58WSHNic Dowd · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 17:36NYRBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Dryden Hunt, 3rd 6:42 — NYR 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.39F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.21R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hunt · Goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH59%41%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
16
28
Giveaways
23
14
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD101-140.26120—24:52
9D. OrlovD000020.06020—21:34
3N. JensenD000-130.14010—20:47
92E. KuznetsovC011000.031024720:14
90M. JohanssonL000040.47000—19:32
2J. SchultzD101030.15100—19:25
77T. OshieR011040.371103319:12
43T. WilsonR000060.72000—18:12
57T. van RiemsdykD011010.05000—16:50
42M. FehérváryD000-210.01300—16:41
20L. EllerC000-130.310002615:53
39A. ManthaR000000.00200—14:35
73C. ShearyL000000.02100—14:06
24C. McMichaelL000010.040003111:57
22J. LarssonL000-100.00100—11:18
26N. DowdC000-110.062045811:17
21G. HathawayR000-120.14210—10:10
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000-210.03000—09:47
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)33303.9092.36-0.6457:38

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).