Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 5:15 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 25% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 26, MIN 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Stralman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (3 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Stralman1 G, 1 A

- ★★S. Gostisbehere3 A

- ★★★M. Foligno1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-111:05
2nd period
1-118:15
3rd period
2-10:20
3-12:56
3-24:51
3-35:15
4-310:22
5-318:41
Penalties
1st
- 4:14
Nick Schmaltz · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
- 15:16
Anton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
- 19:27
J.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
2nd
- 5:46
served by N. Bjugstad · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 7:23
Kevin Fiala · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:53
Shayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
3rd
- 6:18
Nick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
- 9:35
Ryan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
- 10:22
served by N. Bjugstad · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 13:09
Barrett Hayton · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
- 20:00
Kevin Fiala · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 3rd 5:15 — 25% → 52%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 18
- 14
- Hits
- 7
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 4
- Giveaways
- 7
- 6
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
