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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 7:29 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.6, TBL 2.8; shots on goal were CBJ 21, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 3. Victor Hedman (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ180706121
TBLTBL21211119432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos (61), N. Paul (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:37
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    2:59
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(38)PPG
    slapxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:47

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:29

3rd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:53

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:13TBLZach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Emil Bemstrom2 min
  • 10:27TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 15:46CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

2nd

  • 4:58TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min

3rd

  • 0:53CBJCole Sillinger · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 2nd 7:29 — TBL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.22S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.20A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.16O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.15O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.05C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
2.61 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ46%54%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
32
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
29
8
Blocked shots
25
1
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011-110.18100—23:01
2A. PeekeD000000.00310—22:14
44V. GavrikovD000-210.06102—21:53
96J. RoslovicC011020.520005820:10
28O. BjorkstrandR101-130.14100—19:35
14G. NyquistR000020.40000—19:32
93J. VoracekR000000.03200—18:12
59E. ChinakhovR000-220.29110—18:00
22J. BeanD000000.04210—17:39
46D. KukanD000-200.01400—16:44
34C. SillingerC000030.183125514:50
77N. BlankenburgD000-130.13810—14:20
17J. DanforthR000-300.080006013:34
50E. RobinsonL000-210.14010—12:42
13K. JohnsonC000010.08010012:21
52E. BemstromC000-120.19200011:00
55C. MeyerR000000.00200—10:47
23B. GaunceC000000.111103310:25
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)32284.8752.77-1.2360:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).