Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 7:29 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.6, TBL 2.8; shots on goal were CBJ 21, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (2 G, 2 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 3. Victor Hedman (1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Stamkos2 G, 2 A

- ★★N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A

- ★★★V. Hedman1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-11:37
1-12:59
1-216:47
2nd period
1-37:29
3rd period
1-414:53
Penalties
1st
- 2:13
Zach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Emil Bemstrom2 min
- 10:27
Steven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
- 15:46
Vladislav Gavrikov · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
2nd
- 4:58
Nikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
3rd
- 0:53
Cole Sillinger · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 2nd 7:29 — 71% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 2.10 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.74
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 31
- Hits
- 29
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 25
- 1
- Giveaways
- 5
- 9
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
