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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 10:23 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.5 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 31, WPG 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, .968), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0807116131
WPGWPG01409421444

Scoring

5 goals

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(17)
    E. Johnson (17), J. Johnson (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    1-0
    5:03
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(13)
    J. Morrissey (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
    1-1
    9:04
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(14)
    D. Samberg (5), N. Pionk (31)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +32 pts
    1-2
    10:23
  4. WPG
    K. Connor(45)
    J. Harkins (4)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    12:25
  5. WPG
    N. Ehlers(27)
    P. Stastny (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:18

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:23WPGBrenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 12:16COLBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 16:30COLNicolas Aube-Kubel · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

  • 5:05WPGDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 3rd 10:23 — WPG 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.31B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.29K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.24K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.19B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.19B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.18K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.17D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.13M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 4.5 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.71 G
All situations
4 G4.5
2.71 G
Even strength
4 G3.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL24%76%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 4.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
44
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
28
7
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD000-200.03000—22:27
8C. MakarD000-140.25320—22:13
4B. ByramD000010.03302—21:44
13V. NichushkinR000-150.66100—20:22
3J. JohnsonD011-110.01010—19:44
6E. JohnsonD011-230.07230—18:51
91N. KadriC000-110.120007117:55
29N. MacKinnonC000-120.071003817:02
37J. CompherL101+110.150106916:18
95A. BurakovskyL000-130.16000—16:02
62A. LehkonenL000-120.50300—16:01
43D. HelmC000-230.030007513:36
42J. MansonD000010.04100—13:26
16N. Aube-KubelR000+100.24102—12:39
59B. MeyersC000-130.37000012:38
18A. NewhookC000+100.00100011:51
78N. SturmC000-210.030007511:42
11A. CoglianoC000-200.00000011:31
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)44404.9094.53+0.5359:58

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).