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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 7:44 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 38, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Thomas Greiss stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT27316215738
DETDET1911204225

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:44
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell (21), K. Letang (57)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:18
  3. DET
    J. Vrana(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    16:36

2nd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    0:17
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:44
  3. PIT
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    11:37
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    16:23

3rd period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang (58), J. Carter (25)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    5:38
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.07
    7-2
    19:34

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DET 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:55PITJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

2nd

  • 15:45DETDanny DeKeyser · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

3rd

  • 8:50PITBrian Dumoulin · High stickingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 20:00PITBrian Dumoulin · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 7:44 — PIT 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.16L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.15J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.15J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hirose · Missed · xG 0.10J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.09A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
3.37 G
All situations
2 G1.6
3.06 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT79%21%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
38
Shots on goal
25
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD123+240.27300—22:41
8B. DumoulinD011+320.08104—21:31
59J. GuentzelC011+130.45000020:07
5M. MathesonD011+200.02110—19:50
67R. RakellR112+130.48400—18:57
6J. MarinoD000000.00000—18:46
28M. PetterssonD000050.11120—18:45
2C. RuhwedelD112+310.20120—18:03
87S. CrosbyC112+130.270005017:13
71E. MalkinC202+260.531105816:22
17B. RustR000+210.11200—15:52
77J. CarterC011+110.090028315:17
16J. ZuckerL011+210.08010—14:31
43D. HeinenL101+130.30010—12:34
53T. BluegerC011+100.002106312:30
42K. KapanenR000+110.10100—12:00
23B. McGinnL011+100.0002010011:41
9E. RodriguesC000+140.220006710:39
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)25232.9201.60-0.4060:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).