Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 7:44 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 38, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Thomas Greiss stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-013:44
2-015:18
2-116:36
2nd period
2-20:17
3-27:44
4-211:37
5-216:23
3rd period
6-25:38
7-219:34
Penalties
1st
- 15:55
Jeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
2nd
- 15:45
Danny DeKeyser · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
3rd
- 8:50
Brian Dumoulin · High stickingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
- 20:00
Brian Dumoulin · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 7:44 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.37 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.6
- 3.06 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.3
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 1.59
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 26
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 5
- Giveaways
- 7
- 2
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-1
3@
2SOFinal
2@
11Final
7@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
