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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Sharks scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 0:31 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 1.0; shots on goal were STL 28, SJS 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 21 (.952); James Reimer stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (20 saves, .952), 3. James Reimer (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Reimer25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1111918328
SJSSJS190507121

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:05
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:18

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    0:31

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.95win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    19:48

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·SJS 12 PIM

1st

  • 11:01SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 18:45SJSTimo Meier · Holdingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

2nd

  • 2:32SJSMatt Nieto · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 10:30STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Sasha Chmelevski2 min
  • 16:00SJSTomas Hertl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 10:50STLVladimir Tarasenko · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 10:50SJSJeffrey Viel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 13:51SJSScott Reedy · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 2nd 0:31 — STL 48% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.09N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.07N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.07T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.0 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
2.92 G
All situations
1 G1.0
1.41 G
Even strength
1 G0.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL71%29%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
12
8
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-130.06000—21:42
4N. LeddyD000-110.01100—21:36
55C. ParaykoD000+200.03010—21:17
6M. ScandellaD000+220.17100—19:28
57D. PerronL000010.08100—19:11
10B. SchennC011+140.360005018:27
18R. ThomasC101-150.430003118:24
90R. O'ReillyC000+110.030006218:16
89P. BuchnevichL112021.00000—18:14
20B. SaadL000010.10000—17:06
91V. TarasenkoR011-120.15112—15:50
43C. RosenD000010.04000—14:57
49I. BarbashevL000000.00000—14:56
25J. KyrouR000030.11002—14:34
41R. BortuzzoD000000.01010—11:46
26N. WalkerL011+110.05020—10:49
22L. BrownC011+100.090106710:09
54D. JoshuaC101+110.18400009:20
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)21201.9521.01+0.0159:58

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).