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Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 12:17 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 24, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Frederick Gaudreau (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gaudreau2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01031004324
MINMIN0839315632

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:53
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:31
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:10
  4. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:22
  5. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    16:09
  6. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-3
    18:36

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +34 pts
    3-4
    12:17
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:05
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.77win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:47

Penalties

VAN 13 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:42VANMatthew Highmore · Interferencedrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 18:46MINKirill Kaprizov · High sticking double minordrawn by Brad Richardson4 min

2nd

  • 17:01VANLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 17:01MINNicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min

3rd

  • 2:51VANserved by V. Podkolzin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:15VANTyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 10:09VANOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 10:09MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVAN goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 3rd 12:17 — MIN 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.77F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.20R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10M. Chaffee · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsMIN
2.33 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.13 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN48%52%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsMIN
24
Shots on goal
32
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
20
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000-120.15000—26:10
57T. MyersD000-300.01222—21:17
9J. MillerC000-320.231206420:36
40E. PetterssonC202080.410003319:03
24T. DermottD011+200.05010—18:56
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-310.03122—18:25
39A. ChiassonR000-310.21100—17:26
2L. SchennD000000.00725—16:58
6B. BoeserR011010.192107116:47
77B. HuntD000020.05100—16:27
8C. GarlandR022-120.48000—16:00
92V. PodkolzinR000-210.0710010014:48
15M. HighmoreC101+110.23102014:44
91J. LammikkoC000020.070004213:47
18J. DickinsonC000-100.080007512:43
58W. LockwoodR000+110.01200—12:29
13B. RichardsonR000-100.00000—09:01
51S. DriesC000-200.00100008:49
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)31265.8392.36-2.6459:34

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).